Newport County 1-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.01
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
15%
6.93
X/2
11%
4.95
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.98
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.14
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.3 Crosses 9.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bromley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.50 xG 1.83
74% Ball Possession 26%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
456 Passes 103
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
9 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
26.12.2024 Bromley Bromley 5-2 HT 2-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
1-1
AWAY Bromley
0.34 xG 1.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
257 Passes 180
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County and Bromley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Newport County had 54% of the ball to Bromley's 46%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.34 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Bromley?

Newport County 1-1 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newport County 34%, draw 27%, Bromley 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bromley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bromley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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