Accrington Stanley 1-4 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.2
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
13%
5.49
X/2
18%
5.39
X/X
14%
3.81
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.3pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.55
+2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
227 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.2 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
202 Passes 225
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-5 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
09.04.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
04.12.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 5-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
09.11.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-4
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.83 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
188 Passes 259
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town cruised past Accrington Stanley 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 45% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 55%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.83 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Accrington Stanley and 2.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

Accrington Stanley 1-4 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 36%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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