Gillingham 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2025

Gillingham
1-1 HT 0-1
Colchester
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Gillingham vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.9
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.01 — our 44% vs market 41.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.51
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
11%
5.48
X/2
12%
5.12
X/X
17%
3.55
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
4.07
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+8.1pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-8.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.4pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gillingham v Colchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.21
-32% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 67%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.0 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gillingham vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Colchester
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.61 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 292
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.01.2024 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
26.08.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
21.01.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-2 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
26.12.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
11.10.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İNTK

Gillingham 1-1 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Colchester
3.22 xG 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
323 Passes 171
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
47 Box Touches 6
48 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Colchester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Gillingham had 64% of the ball to Colchester's 36%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 3.22 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gillingham and 1.17 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Colchester?

Gillingham 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 29%, draw 34%, Colchester 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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