Alvechurch 1-0 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
2.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Royston Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
06.09.2025 Royston Town Royston Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
05.04.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
24.08.2024 Royston Town Royston Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
30.01.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
20.04.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch edged past Royston Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alvechurch and 1.17 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Royston Town?

Alvechurch 1-0 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 54%, draw 25%, Royston Town 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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