Needham Market 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
18%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+2.8pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 20%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.97
+40% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 0-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 2-1 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 1-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
04.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 1-2 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
11.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 0-2 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
2-1
AWAY Barwell
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market squeezed past Barwell 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Needham Market had 63% of the ball to Barwell's 37%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Needham Market had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Needham Market and 1.50 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Barwell?

Needham Market 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 66%, draw 16%, Barwell 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
11 Apr 2026
17:00 Guiseley vs United of Manchester Analysis →
17:00 St Ives Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
17:00 Halesowen Town vs Harborough Town Analysis →
17:00 Evesham United vs Walton & Hersham Analysis →
17:00 Bury Town vs Stamford Analysis →
17:00 Stourbridge vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →