Mjallby vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mjallby v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals
Mjallby vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Mjallby
İSÇ2
2-1
HT 1-0
Örgryte
İSÇ2
2-1
HT 0-1
Mjallby
İSÇ2
2-1
HT 2-0
Örgryte
İSÇ2
2-0
HT 1-0
Örgryte
İSÇK
Mjallby 0-2 Örgryte — Actual Match Statistics
Örgryte saw off Mjallby 2-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mjallby at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mjallby had 64% of the ball to Örgryte's 36%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.44 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mjallby.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjallby and 0.83 for Örgryte.
What was the final score of Mjallby vs Örgryte?
Mjallby 0-2 Örgryte in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Örgryte?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 65%, draw 21%, Örgryte 13%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.