Vasteras SK FK 2-2 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.57
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
6.0
X/2
11%
5.01
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.10/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.43
-33% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
19.1 Crosses 22.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
481 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
07.04.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
2-2
AWAY Elfsborg
0.60 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
385 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK and Elfsborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 52% of the ball to Elfsborg's 48%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.60 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.00 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg?

Vasteras SK FK 2-2 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 36%, draw 28%, Elfsborg 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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