Elche vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Elche v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Elche 1-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Elche edged past Valencia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 28% / 37%); Elche picked one for it. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Elche's favour, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.71 to 2.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valencia.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Elche against 1.50 for Valencia.
Elche vs Valencia Result & Final Score
Elche 1 - 0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Elche vs Valencia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elche 35%, draw 28%, Valencia 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.