Real Sociedad 3-3 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Apr 2026

Real Sociedad
3 - 3 HT 2 - 2
Deportivo Alaves
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.6
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.13
6+
6%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.4
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
8%
8.46
X/X
16%
4.99
2/1 ✗
3%
22.65
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X
5%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Real Sociedad v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Sociedad The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.02.2026 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-3 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
06.12.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
23.04.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
28.08.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
20.07.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
31.03.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Real Sociedad 3-3 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
3 - 3
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.97 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
418 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alaves with a point apiece. Half-time: 2-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 53% lean on Real Sociedad didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Real Sociedad had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 46%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.97 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.17 for Deportivo Alaves.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Result & Final Score

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 53%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
11 Apr 2026
17:15 Elche vs Valencia Analysis →
19:30 Barcelona vs Espanyol Analysis →
22:00 Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Analysis →