Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Alaves v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 2-3 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Real Sociedad edged past Deportivo Alaves 3-2 away from home. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
From a near-even 28% / 32% / 40% read, it was Real Sociedad who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Deportivo Alaves had 46% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 54%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.99 to 1.52 — by the quality of chances, Deportivo Alaves deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.67 for Real Sociedad.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Deportivo Alaves 2 - 3 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 28%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.