Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Alaves v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves edged past Real Sociedad 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Deportivo Alaves had 38% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 62%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.39 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for Real Sociedad.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Deportivo Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 34%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.