Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.14
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.25
X/1
10%
6.97
X/2
15%
4.29
X/X
12%
3.45
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.05
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.14/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.10
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.1 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
195 Passes 379
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.03.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.01.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
24.07.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
21.02.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
06.12.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.25 xG 0.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
220 Passes 369
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Deportivo Alaves 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 41% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 59%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.25 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.67 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad?

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 28%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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