Girona 3-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
6%
9.26
X/X
9%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
21.4
2/2
13%
6.59
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 6% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
1.79/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.51
+48% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.8 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Betis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
28.05.2023 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
20.01.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 3-2 HT 1-2 Girona Girona İS1
27.09.2018 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
13.04.2018 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
3-2
AWAY Real Betis
2.66 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
501 Passes 355
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Girona vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona edged past Real Betis 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Girona had 57% of the ball to Real Betis's 43%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 2.66 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Girona's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Girona and 1.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Girona vs Real Betis?

Girona 3-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Girona 52%, draw 24%, Real Betis 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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