Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Sociedad v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
3-1
HT 2-1
Deportivo Alaves
HAZ
Real Sociedad 1-2 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves edged past Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Sociedad had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 47%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.03 to 1.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves?
Real Sociedad 1-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 46%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.