Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao edged past Valencia 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Athletic Bilbao had 51% of the ball to Valencia's 49%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 1.38 to 0.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Athletic Bilbao's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.83 for Valencia.
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 55%, draw 26%, Valencia 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.