Atletico Madrid 0-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Aug 2024

Atletico Madrid
0-0 HT 0-0
Espanyol
📅28/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
25.5
X/1
20%
3.21
X/2
8%
21.0
X/X
10%
6.68
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
5%
18.8
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.89/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.84
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.7 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Espanyol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.05.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
06.11.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
17.04.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
12.09.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
01.03.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
10.11.2019 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-1 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Atletico Madrid 0-0 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
0-0
AWAY Espanyol
2.47 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
523 Passes 289
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid and Espanyol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Madrid carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 62% of the ball to Espanyol's 38%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.47 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.33 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol?

Atletico Madrid 0-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 60%, draw 22%, Espanyol 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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