Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

Deportivo Alaves
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Sociedad
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.82
-31% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
204 Passes 361
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
02.01.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.03.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.01.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
24.07.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
21.02.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 35% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 65%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.83 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad?

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 36%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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