Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sevilla v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sevilla 2-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla shaded a tight game against Atletico Madrid 2-1.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, Sevilla had 32% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.01 to 0.84.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sevilla and 1.83 for Atletico Madrid.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Result & Final Score
Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 44%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.