Avellino 1-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 11 Apr 2026

Avellino
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Catanzaro
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.48
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
35%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.77
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.79
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.88
6+
4%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.86
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
18%
4.15
2/1
2%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.88
2/X
6%
12.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Avellino The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.26 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Weak Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.26 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
04.03.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
16.11.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-3 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTCK
30.10.2022 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 0-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
06.02.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
30.09.2021 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1 - 1
AWAY Catanzaro
2.18 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
286 Passes 408
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Avellino vs Catanzaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Avellino and Catanzaro traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Avellino had 43% of the ball to Catanzaro's 57%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.18 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avellino and 2.00 for Catanzaro.

Avellino vs Catanzaro Result & Final Score

Avellino 1 - 1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Avellino vs Catanzaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Avellino 35%, draw 30%, Catanzaro 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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