Catanzaro vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanzaro v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Catanzaro vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Avellino
İTC
3-3
HT 1-1
Avellino
İTCK
2-2
HT 0-2
Catanzaro
İTC
2-0
HT 0-0
Avellino
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Catanzaro
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Avellino
İTC
Catanzaro 1-0 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Catanzaro edged past Avellino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Catanzaro had 56% of the ball to Avellino's 44%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Catanzaro and 1.17 for Avellino.
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Avellino?
Catanzaro 1-0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 51%, draw 25%, Avellino 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.