Spezia 0-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.4
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
13%
6.9
X/2
16%
4.89
X/X
12%
3.99
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.16
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.97
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
23.6 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Modena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 355
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
02.11.2024 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
25.02.2024 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
12.03.2016 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
27.10.2015 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
0-2
AWAY Modena
0.64 xG 4.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
342 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena beat Spezia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spezia had 59% of the ball to Modena's 41%, shots finished 7-28, expected goals 0.64 to 4.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spezia and 0.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Modena?

Spezia 0-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spezia 32%, draw 24%, Modena 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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