Reggiana 1-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 38% vs market 34.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.91
X/2
14%
6.9
X/X
13%
3.78
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
11%
5.48
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.07/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.49
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.6 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
16.12.2019 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.58 xG 2.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
239 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Reggiana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Padova Calcio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 42% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 58%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.58 to 2.53.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Padova Calcio?

Reggiana 1-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 36%, draw 33%, Padova Calcio 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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