Cesena 3-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.24
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.16
X/2
10%
9.6
X/X
7%
4.91
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
5%
8.01
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
+20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.4 Crosses 18.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mantova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 499
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Mantova Mantova 3-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
29.09.2024 Cesena Cesena 4-2 HT 3-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
05.05.2024 Mantova Mantova 1-2 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
08.05.2021 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 2-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
03.04.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
13.12.2020 Mantova Mantova 0-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
3-2
AWAY Mantova
2.43 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
440 Passes 437
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena edged past Mantova 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cesena had 50% of the ball to Mantova's 50%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.43 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cesena and 1.17 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Mantova?

Cesena 3-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cesena 59%, draw 21%, Mantova 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ BTTS Yes
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