Mantova 3-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2025

Mantova
3-0 HT 1-0
Cesena
📅01/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Mantova vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 34% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.52
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.55
X/2
14%
6.28
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
10%
4.28
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mantova v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 36%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.02/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
+15% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
11.7 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Mantova vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cesena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.96 xG 2.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
522 Passes 223
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Cesena Cesena 4-2 HT 3-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
05.05.2024 Mantova Mantova 1-2 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
08.05.2021 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 2-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
03.04.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
13.12.2020 Mantova Mantova 0-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTC
13.04.2010 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTB

Mantova 3-0 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
3-0
AWAY Cesena
1.22 xG 0.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
476 Passes 234
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova cruised past Cesena 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mantova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mantova had 64% of the ball to Cesena's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mantova and 2.50 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Cesena?

Mantova 3-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mantova 39%, draw 28%, Cesena 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mantova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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