Modena vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
1-1
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Reggiana
İTC
Modena 2-3 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Reggiana edged past Modena 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Modena at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 57% of the ball to Reggiana's 43%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.58 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Modena and 0.67 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Modena vs Reggiana?
Modena 2-3 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Modena 44%, draw 28%, Reggiana 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.