Spezia vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTA
2-2
HT 2-2
Spezia
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
Spezia 2-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia saw off Salernitana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Spezia had 50% of the ball to Salernitana's 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.06 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spezia and 1.33 for Salernitana.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Salernitana?
Spezia 2-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Salernitana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spezia 57%, draw 25%, Salernitana 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.