Salernitana vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Spezia — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTA
2-2
HT 2-2
Spezia
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Spezia
İTB
Salernitana 0-2 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia got the better of Salernitana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Spezia made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Salernitana had 61% of the ball to Spezia's 39%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salernitana and 1.67 for Spezia.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Spezia?
Salernitana 0-2 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Spezia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 39%, draw 30%, Spezia 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS Yes went the other way.