Modena 2-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Oct 2024

Modena
2-2 HT 0-2
Palermo
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Modena vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
12%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
12%
6.05
X/X
13%
3.77
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
17%
4.66
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.43
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.2 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Modena vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Palermo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.20 xG 2.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Palermo Palermo 4-2 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB
07.10.2023 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
17.03.2023 Palermo Palermo 5-2 HT 1-2 Modena Modena İTB
29.10.2022 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
23.08.2014 Palermo Palermo 0-3 HT 0-2 Modena Modena İTK
25.01.2014 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB

Modena 2-2 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
2-2
AWAY Palermo
1.65 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
250 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Modena vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Modena had 42% of the ball to Palermo's 58%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.65 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Modena and 2.17 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Modena vs Palermo?

Modena 2-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Modena 37%, draw 27%, Palermo 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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