Südtirol 1-2 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
46%
2.66
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.35
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.86
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
13.3
X/1
6%
5.18
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
31%
3.08
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
6%
4.9
2/X
12%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
46%
Draw
34%
+12.5pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.1 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.15 xG 1.35
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
236 Passes 424
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-2 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
11.11.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-2 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
04.02.2023 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
04.09.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-2
AWAY Pisa
0.71 xG 1.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
320 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa squeezed past Südtirol 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 55% of the ball to Pisa's 45%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.71 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Südtirol and 1.25 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Pisa?

Südtirol 1-2 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 32%, draw 46%, Pisa 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Cittadella vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Salernitana vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 Modena vs Palermo Analysis →
18:15 Brescia vs Sassuolo Analysis →