Pisa vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pisa v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals
Pisa vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Pisa
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Südtirol
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Pisa
İTB
Pisa 2-2 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics
Pisa and Südtirol couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Pisa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pisa had 55% of the ball to Südtirol's 45%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.64 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pisa and 1.33 for Südtirol.
What was the final score of Pisa vs Südtirol?
Pisa 2-2 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pisa vs Südtirol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pisa 43%, draw 26%, Südtirol 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.