Südtirol 1-1 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 11 Apr 2026

Südtirol
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Modena
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.82
Draw
34%
2.96
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.69
Over
42%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.59
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.19
6+
4%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.43
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
12%
6.1
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
23%
3.87
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Südtirol The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Modena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.74 xG 0.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
29.12.2024 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.08.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
27.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
26.09.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
19.05.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1 - 1
AWAY Modena
2.63 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
206 Passes 244
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Südtirol vs Modena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Südtirol and Modena finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Modena saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.63 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Südtirol against 0.67 for Modena.

Südtirol vs Modena Result & Final Score

Südtirol 1 - 1 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Südtirol vs Modena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 30%, draw 34%, Modena 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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