Südtirol vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Südtirol v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Südtirol vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
2-1
HT 2-0
Südtirol
İTB
0-2
HT 0-1
Modena
İTB
0-2
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
2-0
HT 2-0
Modena
İTC
Südtirol 2-1 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol nicked a narrow win over Modena 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Südtirol had 68% of the ball to Modena's 32%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.78 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Südtirol and 1.17 for Modena.
What was the final score of Südtirol vs Modena?
Südtirol 2-1 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Modena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 37%, draw 30%, Modena 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.