Pisa 2-2 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Aug 2024

Pisa
2-2 HT 1-2
Spezia
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.57
6+ Goals
11%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.71
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.59
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.15
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.7 Crosses 19.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Spezia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-3 HT 1-3 Spezia Spezia İTB
08.10.2023 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
29.06.2020 Spezia Spezia 1-2 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
09.11.2019 Pisa Pisa 3-2 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
13.05.2017 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
24.12.2016 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-2
AWAY Spezia
2.27 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
279 Passes 222
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa and Spezia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pisa had 55% of the ball to Spezia's 45%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.27 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pisa and 1.00 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Spezia?

Pisa 2-2 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pisa 39%, draw 29%, Spezia 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
17 Aug 2024
21:30 Südtirol vs Modena Analysis →
21:30 Salernitana vs Cittadella Analysis →
21:30 FC Bari 1908 vs Juve Stabia Analysis →