FC Bari 1908 1-3 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
19%
4.06
X/2
10%
7.7
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
9%
6.59
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.55
Value flag · 2/X at 15.55 — our 12% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.19/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.86
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.7 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
06.11.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
03.03.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
08.11.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 2-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
10.05.2014 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
07.12.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-3
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.17 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia got the better of FC Bari 1908 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 57% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 43%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.17 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.33 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Juve Stabia?

FC Bari 1908 1-3 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 45%, draw 29%, Juve Stabia 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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