Modena 0-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.92
X/2
8%
10.9
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
6%
9.77
2/X
4%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.52/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
-21% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
26.0 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.70 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.08.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
27.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
26.09.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
19.05.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
26.12.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
0-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.15 xG 0.71
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
459 Passes 178
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
49 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Modena vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Südtirol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Modena at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Modena had 68% of the ball to Südtirol's 32%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.15 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Modena and 0.50 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Modena vs Südtirol?

Modena 0-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Modena 58%, draw 23%, Südtirol 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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