Monza 1-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

Monza
1-0 HT 1-0
Cesena
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.63
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.32
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
9%
8.65
2/X
5%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.73/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
-14% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.1 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
1-0
AWAY Cesena
1.35 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
485 Passes 443
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Monza vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza nicked a narrow win over Cesena 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Monza had 52% of the ball to Cesena's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.35 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Monza vs Cesena?

Monza 1-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Monza 53%, draw 24%, Cesena 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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