Modena 0-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
20%
4.26
X/2
6%
7.7
X/X
16%
3.63
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
11%
6.61
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +11%
1.29/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.02
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.8 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
27.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
26.09.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
19.05.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
26.12.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
14.05.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-2 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
0-0
AWAY Südtirol
0.41 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
190 Passes 199
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Modena vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Südtirol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Modena had 48% of the ball to Südtirol's 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.41 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 0.50 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Modena vs Südtirol?

Modena 0-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Modena 46%, draw 31%, Südtirol 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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