Sassuolo 2-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
6+ Goals
14%
10.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
23%
3.66
X/2
6%
12.75
X/X
9%
6.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.0
2/2
10%
10.15
2/X
7%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.90/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.49
+96% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
14.6 Crosses 17.6
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.02 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
412 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
13.08.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTK
13.08.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-5 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.29 xG 1.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
508 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo edged past Cosenza Calcio 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo had 68% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 32%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cosenza Calcio?

Sassuolo 2-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 56%, draw 23%, Cosenza Calcio 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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