Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.69
X/2
16%
5.34
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.19
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.4 Crosses 17.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.33 xG 2.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
304 Passes 607
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 51
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 6
13.08.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-5 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
13.08.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-1
AWAY Sassuolo
0.74 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
296 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo edged past Cosenza Calcio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Sassuolo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 57% of the ball to Sassuolo's 43%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 0.74 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 3.50 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Sassuolo?

Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 37%, draw 25%, Sassuolo 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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