Pisa 2-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2024

Pisa
2-1 HT 1-0
Brescia
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
8%
7.81
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.28
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.1 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brescia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
25.11.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
13.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
17.12.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
06.08.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-4 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTK
06.04.2022 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-1
AWAY Brescia
2.03 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
313 Passes 418
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa squeezed past Brescia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pisa had 43% of the ball to Brescia's 57%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.03 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pisa and 1.50 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Brescia?

Pisa 2-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pisa 47%, draw 27%, Brescia 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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