Brescia 3-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2024

Brescia
3-1 HT 1-0
Pisa
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.94
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
9%
5.41
X/2
12%
5.55
X/X
17%
3.73
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.19/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.30
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.9 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
13.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
17.12.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
06.08.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-4 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTK
06.04.2022 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
27.11.2021 Brescia Brescia 0-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
3-1
AWAY Pisa
1.69 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
315 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia saw off Pisa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Brescia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 43% of the ball to Pisa's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brescia and 1.17 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Pisa?

Brescia 3-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brescia 32%, draw 32%, Pisa 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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