Spezia 1-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2024

Spezia
1-1 HT 1-1
Lecco
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
11%
3.81
X/2
9%
10.45
X/X
10%
5.0
2/1
14%
24.45
2/2
12%
8.49
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.50/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.58
-29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
27.7 Crosses 21.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lecco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.95 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
284 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
1-1
AWAY Lecco
1.24 xG 0.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia and Lecco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spezia had 49% of the ball to Lecco's 51%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.24 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Lecco?

Spezia 1-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spezia 50%, draw 24%, Lecco 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✗ Over 2.5
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