Reggiana 0-2 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.25
X/2
11%
5.72
X/X
16%
3.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.33
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.05/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.11
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.9 Crosses 24.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
316 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
20.02.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-2 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
09.01.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-2 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-2
AWAY Cittadella
2.75 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
26 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
286 Passes 251
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella beat Reggiana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Cittadella made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 53% of the ball to Cittadella's 47%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.75 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Reggiana.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Cittadella?

Reggiana 0-2 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 35%, draw 30%, Cittadella 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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