Catanzaro 1-2 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2024

Catanzaro
1-2 HT 1-0
Como
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Catanzaro vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
3.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 38% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.31
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.11
X/2
10%
5.18
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
20%
3.41
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Catanzaro v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.72
+31% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.2 Crosses 22.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Catanzaro vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Como
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 1.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 197
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Como Como 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
07.08.2021 Como Como 2-2 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTK

Catanzaro 1-2 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-2
AWAY Como
0.59 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
456 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como squeezed past Catanzaro 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Como found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 62% of the ball to Como's 38%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.59 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Como.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Como?

Catanzaro 1-2 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 35%, draw 27%, Como 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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