Ternana 0-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Apr 2024

Ternana
0-0 HT 0-0
Modena
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Ternana vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.48
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2
13%
5.11
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ternana v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.26/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.55
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.6 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Ternana vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Modena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 2.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
28.01.2023 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 2-0 Modena Modena İTB
27.08.2022 Modena Modena 4-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
30.01.2016 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
18.09.2015 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
16.05.2015 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTB

Ternana 0-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
0-0
AWAY Modena
1.02 xG 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 26
0 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 46
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana and Modena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ternana had 38% of the ball to Modena's 62%, shots finished 11-26, expected goals 1.02 to 2.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ternana and 1.67 for Modena.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Modena?

Ternana 0-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ternana 33%, draw 28%, Modena 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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