Palermo 0-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 33% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.56
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.38
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
4.02
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.42
+25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.8 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Cesena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
12.05.2018 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
21.12.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
08.03.2015 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
19.10.2014 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTA
15.02.2014 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
13.09.2013 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-0
AWAY Cesena
0.86 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Cesena played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 53% of the ball to Cesena's 47%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.86 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Palermo and 0.50 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Cesena?

Palermo 0-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palermo 41%, draw 30%, Cesena 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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