Modena 3-0 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2024

Modena
3-0 HT 2-0
Juve Stabia
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Modena vs Juve Stabia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.29
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.25
X/1
16%
3.91
X/2
9%
8.48
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
7.51
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Juve Stabia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.26/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.27
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4

Modena vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
The Meetings
12.04.2014 Modena Modena 4-2 HT 2-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
09.11.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
28.03.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
05.11.2012 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
28.04.2012 Modena Modena 3-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
19.11.2011 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB

Modena 3-0 Juve Stabia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
3-0
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.53 xG 0.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
205 Passes 379
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Modena vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena cruised past Juve Stabia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Modena found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Modena had 39% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 61%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.53 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Modena and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Modena vs Juve Stabia?

Modena 3-0 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Modena 40%, draw 32%, Juve Stabia 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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