Cremonese 1-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Dec 2024

Cremonese
1-1 HT 0-0
Brescia
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cremonese vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
13%
4.05
X/2 EV+ ✗
13%
9.89
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
7.89
2/X
8%
15.35
Value flag · X/2 at 9.89 — our 13% vs market 6.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.64/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
-14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.9 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cremonese vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brescia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 0.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
371 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2024 Brescia Brescia 3-2 HT 3-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
27.01.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
12.11.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-3 HT 0-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
05.03.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
23.10.2021 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
20.02.2021 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB

Cremonese 1-1 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY Brescia
1.12 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
477 Passes 147
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Brescia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cremonese had 70% of the ball to Brescia's 30%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cremonese and 1.00 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Brescia?

Cremonese 1-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 45%, draw 27%, Brescia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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