FC Bari 1908 2-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Dec 2024

FC Bari 1908
2-0 HT 1-0
Spezia
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.52
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
10%
6.35
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
18%
3.88
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.57
2/X
6%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bari 1908 v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.35/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.91
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.2 Crosses 22.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Spezia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.37 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.03.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
15.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
13.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
30.09.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
08.04.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB

FC Bari 1908 2-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-0
AWAY Spezia
1.58 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
289 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 saw off Spezia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Bari 1908 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 53% of the ball to Spezia's 47%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Spezia.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia?

FC Bari 1908 2-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 28%, draw 32%, Spezia 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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