Mantova 0-2 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 39% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.56
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
9%
6.26
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
24%
3.82
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.2pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.75/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
+14% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
14.7 Crosses 15.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
540 Passes 206
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
18.08.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
0-2
AWAY Reggiana
0.24 xG 1.60
72% Ball Possession 28%
6 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
552 Passes 175
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana saw off Mantova 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 38% / 34%) promised a tight game; Reggiana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mantova had 72% of the ball to Reggiana's 28%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.24 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Reggiana?

Mantova 0-2 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mantova 28%, draw 38%, Reggiana 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
29 Dec 2024
14:30 Cremonese vs Brescia Analysis →
17:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia Analysis →
17:00 Modena vs Südtirol Analysis →
17:00 Sassuolo vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
17:00 Carrarese vs Cesena Analysis →
19:15 Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Analysis →